Written by: Astrophyzix Science Communication
Article type: News, Explainer, Evidence Check
Introduction
On 14 February 2026, Earth will experience a well-predicted and closely monitored flyby of a large near-Earth asteroid known as 162882 (2001 FD58). While social media often exaggerates such events, this close approach poses no threat to our planet and instead offers scientists a valuable opportunity to refine orbital models and study near-Earth asteroid populations.
What Is Asteroid 162882 (2001 FD58)?
Asteroid 162882, also designated 2001 FD58, is a near-Earth asteroid belonging to the Apollo group. Apollo asteroids are characterized by orbits that cross Earth’s orbital path around the Sun, which is why they receive close scientific attention.
- Asteroid classification: Near-Earth Object (NEO)
- PHA status: Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (based on size and orbit only)
- Estimated diameter: ~460–1,028 meters
- Orbital period: ~417 days
The term “potentially hazardous” does not imply an imminent impact risk. It is a technical designation used to prioritize observation and tracking.
The Valentine’s Day 2026 Close Approach
During its upcoming flyby on 14 February 2026, asteroid 162882 will pass Earth at a distance of approximately:
- 6,498,401 kilometers
- ~4 million miles
- ~17 times farther than the Moon
This distance places the asteroid far outside any impact concern. For comparison, the Moon orbits Earth at an average distance of about 384,000 kilometers.
Why Scientists Monitor This Flyby
Although this encounter is completely safe, it remains scientifically valuable.
- Orbit refinement: Close approaches allow astronomers to improve long-term orbital predictions.
- Population studies: Large near-Earth asteroids help refine models of asteroid distribution and evolution.
- Planetary defense readiness: Continuous tracking strengthens global monitoring systems.
Asteroids of this size are closely tracked using radar, optical telescopes, and automated survey systems operated by international space agencies.
No Impact Risk Confirmed
NASA’s planetary defense systems and independent observatories have confirmed that there is no impact risk associated with the 2026 flyby. Orbital calculations extend decades into the future and show no hazardous encounters.
Similar flybys occur regularly, and most pass without public notice unless they are unusually large or close.
Looking to the Future
Asteroid 162882 (2001 FD58) will continue to make periodic approaches to Earth in future decades. These encounters will remain important for refining long-term trajectory models and ensuring early detection of any potential changes.
The 2026 Valentine’s Day flyby is a reminder that while space is dynamic and active, Earth is well-protected by constant observation, precise physics, and global scientific cooperation.
- Track more asteroids on Astrophyzix using our free Asteroid and Comet Tracking Tool