Astrophyzix Digital Observatory's Evidence-First Asteroid Reporting
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NASA JPL Solution:Solution JPL 9 · Epoch 2461000.5 (2025‑Nov‑21.0 TDB) · SPK‑ID 54629847 · Producer: Otto Matic
Orbit class: Apollo Near‑Earth Object — semi‑major axis
a = 2.4187 au, eccentricity e = 0.5822, inclination i ≈ 6.0°, orbital period
3.76 years (1373.9 days).
Earth MOID:0.000734498 au (~110,000 km), meaning the nominal orbit passes well inside the Earth–Moon system, but
no impact solution is reported in current JPL risk catalogues.
Size estimate: Absolute magnitude H = 26.352 → approximate diameter in the
10–25 m range (albedo‑dependent), consistent with a small NEO capable of airburst‑scale effects only in a hypothetical impact.
Orbit quality:Condition code 4, based on 166 observations over a
10‑day data arc (2026‑05‑10 to 2026‑05‑20), with a normalised RMS of 0.34634 — a moderately well‑constrained, still‑refining orbit.
Future close approach: JPL SBDB lists a notable Earth encounter on
2090‑05‑14 at a nominal distance of 0.00683 au (~1.0 million km) and relative velocity
9.10 km/s — a close but non‑impacting flyby.
Risk context: 2026 JH2 is not a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA) — its size (H > 22) is far below the PHA threshold, and
no impact solutions are listed by NASA CNEOS or JPL SBDB.
Ignore clickbait, sensational videos and news reports claiming that “an asteroid is about to hit Earth” —
that is not supported by the data. Follow the evidence, not the entertainment.
NEO Close Approach Report by Astrophyzix Digital Observatory
Introduction
Earth’s near‑space environment is currently hosting a cluster of scientifically notable—but safely distant—close approaches from three Apollo‑class near‑Earth asteroids: 2004 XA45, 2018 EW1, and 2018 JN1. While none of these objects meet Potentially Hazardous Asteroid criteria, each encounter provides a valuable snapshot of NEO population behaviour across a wide range of sizes, velocities, and orbital histories. Their passages highlight the diversity of objects that routinely move through the inner Solar System: from sub‑30‑meter bodies comparable to the Chelyabinsk airburst to multi‑hundred‑meter asteroids large enough to represent regional‑scale impactors under different orbital circumstances.
Astrophyzix Dynamic 7 Day NEO and PHA Close Approach Report and Forecast
Astrophyzix Weekly Near-Earth Object (NEO) & Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA) Close Approach Report
Written by: Astrophyzix Digital Observatory
Credit: Astrophyzix Planetary Defence Systems
Observatory Status & Data Integrity
Astrophyzix Planetary Defence reports are written using a fully dynamic, on-demand data retrieval pipeline linked directly to NASA's CNEOS NeoWs API infrastructure.
The monitoring interval is calculated at runtime and spans seven days forward from the exact timestamp of system access.
No caching layers, pre-processing, or static datasets are used. Every value presented is sourced from the most recent orbital solutions
available within NASA systems at the time of query execution by the Astrophyzix Planetary Defence System.
Certain data is computed through the Astrophyzix Risk Index and presented alongside the raw data to give readers an easy to visualise scale of how notable an object is an a clear interpretation of the data.
UTC TimestampWed, 22 Apr 2026 20:10:55 Monitoring Window2026-04-22 → 2026-04-28 Data SourceNASA CNEOS NeoWs API (Live Stream)
Asteroid (2026 BK2) is an Apollo-class near-Earth object (NEO) classified as a Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA). Its orbit intersects Earth's orbital region, and its size exceeds the threshold used in hazard classification frameworks.
The close approach on 2026-Apr-22 12:36(TDB) represents a relatively close but well-understood encounter. Despite its classification, no impact risk is identified based on current orbital solutions.
Potentially Hazardous Asteroid (PHA) news refers to verified reports of near-Earth asteroids that meet specific size and orbital proximity thresholds. Despite the classification, the vast majority of PHAs pose no impact threat during observed close approaches.
Key Takeaways
Close approach on 2026-Apr-22 12:36 (TDB).
Miss distance: 0.02569 AU (~10.0 LD / ~3.84 million km).
Relative velocity: 8.13 km/s.
Estimated diameter: ~160–350 meters (derived from H=21.05).
Condition code 0 (extremely well constrained orbit).
No impact threat identified.
ARI Score: 50/100 - Notable Approach
Scientific Consensus Snapshot
The orbital solution for (2026 BK2) is based on 125 observations spanning 2096 days (2020-07-18 to 2026-04-14). The condition code of 0 indicates a highly reliable trajectory solution. The timing uncertainty for the 2026-Apr-22 12:36 (TDB) close approach is less than one minute, confirming extremely high positional certainty.
