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Showing posts with label Analysis. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Analysis. Show all posts

Latest Asteroid News: Asteroid 2026 TB3

PHA and NEO Asteroid Close Approach Report 07 October 2026
Asteroid Object Bulletin · JPL SBDB & Close Approach Data · TDB

Near-Earth Object (NEO) Close-Approach Report: Asteroid 2026 TB3, October 7, 2026

Asteroid 2026 TB3 close-approach image, linked to the Astrophyzix live asteroid tracker

Single-object report for asteroid 2026 TB (SPK-ID: 354660664) , compiled from the JPL Small-Body Database (orbit solution JPL 1) and JPL Close Approach Data, with size and risk fields derived by the Astrophyzix tracker. This bulletin is a catalogue report, not a live CNEOS CAD/Scout dataset. Track live using the Multi-watch CAD/Scout/Sentry Console.
(Image: Copyright © 2026 Astrophyzix 3D Orbital Viewer and Refinement System.)

On October 7, 2026 (UTC), JPL data resolve a close approach by 2026 TB3, an Apollo-class near-Earth asteroid roughly 7 m across. It passes Earth on 9 October 2026 at about 04:50 TDB (≈ 04:49 UTC), at approximately 1.675 lunar distances (643,858 km) with a relative velocity near 11.0 km/s. JPL also lists a pass of the Moon about eight hours later. No listed approach is on an impacting trajectory. (see full daily report)

Closest catalogued approach to Earth
2026 TB3 (SPK-ID: 54660664)
1.675 LD
643,858 km · 0.004304 au · v_rel 11.04 km/s
EARTH SURFACE19.5 LD (FILTER EDGE)
Encounter (TDB)
2026-Oct-09 04:50 ± 00:39
Est. diameter
0.007 km (H-derived)
Diameter range
0.005 – 0.012 km
Earth radii
101 RE

Close Approaches (JPL CAD)

BodyEpoch (TDB)Time ±Nominal (au)Min (au)Max (au)v_rel (km/s)
Earth2026-Oct-09 04:5000:390.004300.004230.0043811.04
Moon2026-Oct-09 12:5700:420.004990.004900.0050811.27

Source: JPL Close Approach Data. Distances are measured from each body; 1 au = 149,597,870.7 km.



Orbital Dossier

2026 TB3

Heliocentric osculating elements from the JPL Small-Body Database (solution JPL 1), epoch JD 2461319.5 (2026-Oct-06.0 TDB); ± values are 1-sigma. Dynamical class: APO (near-Earth asteroid orbits which cross the Earth’s orbit, similar to that of 1862 Apollo).

Semi-major axis a
1.8823 au · ±0.011
Eccentricity e
0.5313 ±0.0031
Inclination i
2.333 deg · ±0.010
Orbital period
2.583 yr · 943.3 d
Asc. node Ω
11.215 deg · ±0.0038
Arg. perihelion ω
53.254 deg · ±0.055
Perihelion q
0.8822 au · ±0.00065
Earth MOID
0.003399 au

Orbit quality: solved 2026-Oct-06 16:12:02 from 12 observations, all on 2026-10-06; condition code 8 (JPL scale 0–9, higher is less certain).

JPL Small-Body Database record: ssd.jpl.nasa.gov/tools/sbdb_lookup.html#/?sstr=54660664



Encounter & Physical Parameters

Relative velocity
11.04 km/s
Velocity at infinity
10.99 km/s
Miss-distance range
0.00423 – 0.00438 au
Encounter time uncertainty
± 00:39
Absolute magnitude H
28.535 σ 0.257
Diameter basis
H-derived
PHA class
No (derived)
Scout / Sentry
None in tracker
Astrophyzix Original Analysis · Same clock as the feed

2026 TB3 is an Apollo-class near-Earth asteroid roughly 7 m across (H 28.5; 5.2–11.7 m from the H-derived range). JPL lists its closest Earth pass at 1.675 LD at about 04:50 TDB on 9 October 2026, at 11.04 km/s, followed by a Moon pass at 12:57 TDB. It is not a PHA: H 28.5 is far fainter than the H 22 limit for that class, even though its Earth MOID is only 0.0034 au. Even the closest distance in JPL’s listed range (0.00423 au) is about 99 Earth radii from Earth’s centre, so no listed approach is on an impacting trajectory. The orbit rests on 12 observations from a single night, so the elements and the encounter time (±39 min) carry real uncertainty. This asteroid has an Astrophyzix Risk Index score of 42/100 (safe) at the time of this report. This score may change because Astrophyzix monitoring systems calculate ARI scores in real time based on live NASA observational data. (Refine orbit of this asteroid in real time)

42/100 SAFE
Earth miss distance
1.675 LD
Relative velocity
11.04 km/s
Est. diameter
7.0 m
Absolute magnitude
28.535
Earth MOID
0.0034 au
Orbit class
Apollo (APO)
Condition code
8 12 obs
Data Provenance - Click to View

Report

Layout
Astrophyzix-NEO-Daily/2.2.0 (single-object report)
Object
2026 TB3 (SPK-ID 54660664)
Generated (UTC)
Report date

Analysis

Closest object
2026 TB3 at 1.675 LD
ARI
42/100 (SAFE)
PHA class
No (below PHA-class threshold, derived)
Orbit condition code
8 (12 observations)

Source 1 – JPL Small-Body Database Lookup

Orbit solution
JPL 1, epoch JD 2461319.5 (2026-Oct-06.0 TDB), solved 2026-Oct-06 16:12:02
Ephemerides
DE441 / SB441-N16
Retrieved

Source 2 – JPL Close Approach Data

Listing
2 entries (Earth, Moon), as shown in the SBDB Lookup table
Retrieved

Source 3 – Astrophyzix tracker record

Record
Source CAD; derived fields (size, PHA class, ARI)
Retrieved

Constants

Astronomical unit
149,597,870.7 km (IAU 2012 Resolution B2)
Lunar distance
384,400 km (JPL/IAU nominal mean)
Earth mean radius
6,371 km (IUGG)
TT − UTC
69.184 s (37 leap seconds + 32.184 s), valid 2026

Methods

Time scale
Close-approach epochs are TDB; UTC ≈ TDB − 69.184 s
Diameter self-test
D[km] = 1329 / sqrt(pv) × 10(−H/5), pv 0.25–0.05 (Bowell)
Trajectory integration
None (catalogue report)

Primary references: JPL Small-Body Database (ssd.jpl.nasa.gov), NASA CNEOS (cneos.jpl.nasa.gov). Object hazard status should be verified against the CNEOS Sentry table. For live CNEOS Scout and JPL Close Approach Data use the Dual-watch PHA and NEO Tracking System.

Astrophyzix Observatory. (2026). Astrophyzix Digital Observatory Daily Close Approach Report: Methods, Provenance and Limitations Documentation (Version 1). Astrophyzix Digital Observatory. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22868834

Astrophyzix Observatory. (2026). Astrophyzix Risk Index - A Heuristic Scoring System for Near-Earth Object Close Approach Visualisation (Version 2.0). Astrophyzix. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22240223

The Pentagon’s New UFO Archive: What the Evidence Actually Shows - Scientific Analysis Without Hype and Sensationalism

The Pentagon’s New UFO Archive: What the Evidence Actually Shows

What the evidence actually shows in the newly released U.S. UAP UFO archive



Introduction 

For decades, unidentified flying objects — now more commonly referred to as UAPs (Unidentified Anomalous Phenomena) — have occupied a strange space between national security, scientific curiosity, public fascination, and conspiracy culture. 


That conversation intensified again following the recent public release of historical UFO-related material through the U.S. government portal at war.gov/UFO.


Public Response 

The archive has already generated dramatic headlines across social media and online commentary, with some claiming the release “confirms aliens,” while others dismiss the material entirely. Neither extreme accurately reflects the available evidence.


A careful examination of the released material instead reveals something more nuanced:

 governments have spent decades investigating aerial observations they could not immediately identify, primarily because unidentified objects in restricted airspace represent potential intelligence and defence concerns. 


  • That reality is important — but it is certainly not equivalent to proof of extraterrestrial visitation.


This article examines the release from an evidence-first perspective, separating verified information from speculation while evaluating what the documents actually demonstrate.


What Was Released?

The newly public archive appears to compile historical records connected to UFO and UAP investigations conducted by various U.S. government agencies over several decades. 


Reports indicate that the collection includes material linked to:

  • the Department of Defense,
  • military aviation incidents,
  • intelligence assessments,
  • radar observations,
  • pilot testimony,
  • and previously scattered archival records.


Coverage of the release by major outlets such as the Washington Post suggests the archive is being presented as a transparency initiative rather than a declaration of extraordinary discoveries.


Historically, UFO investigations within the United States have included:

  • Project Sign,
  • Project Grudge,
  • Project Blue Book,
  • the Advanced Aerospace Threat Identification Program (AATIP),
  • and more recent Pentagon UAP review offices.

Understanding the Buga Sphere: Evidence, Scientific Limitations and Frequently Asked Questions

Written by: Astrophyzix Science Communication
Article Type: News · Explainer · Evidence Check
📌 Cited

Introduction

In March 2025, an object informally referred to as the Buga Sphere began circulating online through images and short video clips. Interest resurfaced in early 2026 as additional online commentary and interpretations emerged, many of which presented speculative or extraordinary claims. Despite continued public attention, no peer-reviewed scientific studies currently document the object’s physical properties, origin, or behavior.

What is the “Buga Sphere”?

The Buga Sphere is an informal term used online to describe a spherical object appearing in a limited number of images and videos shared since March 2025. It is not a scientific designation, and no academic or institutional body has formally identified or cataloged such an object.

Independent Direct Source Verification
Datacite · Zenodo · Crossref · DOI.org · Live Metadata Fetch
Awaiting DOI input